| Lets do the math!
$15 preflop * 6 players + $50 bet + $93 raise (all in) = $233; You are getting $93:$233, or lets say 2.5:1
Now, to hit the hand. You have 8 cards to hit the straight. So, to win, your chance of winning is 8/48 * 2 (chances of hitting), or roughly 33%, so 2:1.
With that said, if you play the hand 3 times, you win it once, lose it twice. When you win it, you win $233. When you lose it, you lose $93 * 2, or $186. $233-$186 = $47.
Every time you make this call, you will have an average win, or an expected value (EV), of +$47.
NOTE: This math is only valuable given the information, which assumes he cannot outdraw you if you hit. However, if there are chances he can hit, this is not exactly correct, yet, in poker, you can only calculate that which you know. (Also, consider the fact had the other guy played too...even better pot odds) |